Tom Brady unretires – how does it affect the odds?

Just over five weeks after retiring Tom Brady unretired Sunday night and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are now just +700 odds to win another Super Bowl in 2022.

The GOAT announced on February 1 he was finally quitting pro football after 22 incredible seasons in New England and Tampa, a career which had brought him a record seven Super Bowl rings.

But on Sunday night he made another announcement, saying he was returning for a 23rd season with “unfinished business”.

Not surprisingly the odds of a Bucs success in Super Bowl LVII in Glendale, Arizona next February took a massive dip on the back of the news.

Before Brady’s announcement Tampa – of course without a franchise quarterback heading into free agency and the Draft – had been +3300 to win another Lombardi (bet $100 to win $3300).

Now though they actually Super Bowl favorites with PointsBet at just +700, and either +750 or +800 with most other sportsbooks.

Tampa is now also a firm favorite to win the NFC South, at odds of just -220 (bet $220 to win $100) with FanDuel.

Tom Brady MVP Odds

As well as loving his teammates, Brady will also surely have his eye on another MVP run after losing out to Aaron Rodgers in the 2021 race.

PointsBet have Brady on +800 along with Rodgers, while Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and Buffalo signal caller Josh Allen are favorites at +700. The Bucs meanwhile became favorites to win the NFC in a heartbeat when news of Brady’s unretirement came through. They are now widely available at +350 – just ahead of Green Bay.

Who knows what caused Brady to make his U-turn – maybe it was spending Saturday in Manchester, England watching soccer GOAT Cristiano Ronaldo score all three goals in an English Premier League game as Manchester United beat Tottenham 3-2.

What we do know is that TB12 will turn 45 years of age before the 2022 season gets under way. The most incredible career in pro football just refuses to go away quietly. We wouldn’t have it any way.

Those odds though, particularly the ones on Tampa winning SB LVII – too tight in our opinion. The Bucs have a number of concerns heading into free agency and will likely not be as strong as they were in 2021. Brady under center can cure many ills, but we would not put Tampa on a par with the Bills and Chiefs.

Tom Brady Passing Yards in 2022

PointsBet also has a line on how many yards Brady will pass for in 2022 (regular season of course). It’s -125 that he racks up Over 4549.5, and -105 that he goes Under. He threw for 5316 in 2021.

We don’t know quite yet what Brady’s supporting cast will be like. Surely TE Rob Gronkowski now signs for another year on the back of his BFF coming back? Meanwhile Chris Godwin – franchise tagged by the Bucs last week – is rehabbing a torn ACL right now. Antonio Brown of course is long gone.

Oh yeah, one final thing to chew on Monday morning, people. Imagine being the guy who paid $518k at auction for the ball with which Brady threw his ‘final NFL TD pass’. Yep, things could always be worse…