NFL Parlay Picks Week 6: Baker holds all the Cards

Baker Mayfield Cleveland Browns

We have another terrific slate of NFL games in Week 6, and what better way to enjoy it than with some super parlay picks.

After hitting with our Week 5 selections against the spread (Dallas -7, Arizona -4.5 and Buffalo +2) we are back to bid for another W. It’s time to do battle with the online sportsbooks again…

We have a three-team parlay for you and we are suggesting a $10 stake. The games we have focus on are:

Dallas @ New England: The Cowboys are red-hot right now and destroyed the Giants 44-20 last weekend to make it four straight wins. Next up for Dak Prescott and the ‘Boys is a trip to Foxboro to face the stuttering New England Patriots, who almost managed to lose to Houston last Sunday. Bill Belichick is known for looking at an offense and finding a way to take away its best weapon. The only problem here is which one? This Dallas offense has multiple ways to beat you – as strong on the ground as it is through the air. 3.5 looks a pretty decent spread to take on, even on the road. Dallas it is once again.

Arizona @ Cleveland: There is a reason Kyler Murray is prominent in the betting odds to be league MVP in 2021. Murray has been stellar so far in leading the Cards to a 5-0 start but a road trip to Cleveland is a tough assignment. Arizona must make that trip without tight end Maxx Williams, who is gone for the year after blowing out his knee vs San Fran last weekend. Center Rodney Hudson is also out with a rib injury while pass rushing demon Chandler Jones is now on the COVID list and highly unlikely to play. Cleveland did give up 47 to Justin Herbert and the Chargers last week but their defense had been stellar up to that point, and they did score 42. Baker Mayfield is doing a terrific job of managing that shoulder injury and we expect the Browns to burst the Arizona bubble.

UPDATE: Kyler Murray added to injury report with a shoulder injury – listed as “questionable” – expected still to play.

Seattle @ Pittsburgh: It’s Geno Smith people. If Russell Wilson was starting for Seattle here the Seahawks would be a handy favorite to improve to 3-3. it says much that with Smith in the lineup they are are a 5.5-point underdog. The loss of Wilson vs the Rams with a ruptured tendon in his finger likely ends any hopes of a playoff run in the Pacific Northwest this season. The Steelers are not great, but again – it’s Geno people. Act accordingly.

OddsCritic NFL Parlay Picks Week 5 (Sunday October 17)

  • Dallas (-3.5) to beat New England @ -105
  • Cleveland (-3) to beat Arizona @ -115
  • Pittsburgh (-5.5) to beat Seattle @ -110

$10 parlay with FanDuel wins $59.69 and gives a total payout of $69.69

NB: All odds and lines correct at 0700 ET on October 14, 2021

What is a parlay?

A parlay is a bet where winning and losing comes down to a number of selections – not just one.

So for example on an NFL Sunday you could put 6 teams into one parlay bet. All your wagers need to come up for you to win the parlay bet.

The odds multiply as your selections (hopefully) win, a bit like compound interest from your bank.

So the positive thing about a parlay is that as well as being terrific fun – you can win really big.

The downside is you have to get multiple things right to win. Getting one bet right is not easy – how about 3, 4, 5 or maybe even more.

What is the best NFL parlay strategy?

The best strategy when you are doing a parlay is play it safe and simple. Do not go for crazy big odds – remember everything has to hit for you so don’t take risks. And don’t go for exotic bets or markets. Spread or money line is good.

Our advice would be to pick a max of five selections that you are very confident in and don’t even think about the odds unless they are absolutely terrible. The fact they all multiply means you’ll get a nice payout if they all come up.

The reason we’re suggesting this strategy is that online sportsbooks just LOVE parlays. Simply because they are tough to hit on. That should tell you all you need to know. Like we say, go for surefire winners – not hopeful long shots.

Another thing we’d advise as a fun play is to pick the winners of each NFL division before the season starts and put them in a parlay. Eight teams yes, but gives you interest (hopefully) throughout the season. And could be a terrific payoff to buy you a nice holiday in the offseason.

How much does a $100 parlay pay?

Well, that really depends on what the odds are.

There are parlay calculators out there that help you work out the odds. But we’ll give you a couple of examples

Example 2: A $100 parlay where your three selections are +200, +400 and +600

You would win $10,400 and with your $100 stake back too, your total payout would be $10,500

Example 2: A $100 parlay where your four selections are +150, -120 and +210

You would win $1320,82 and with your stake back too your total payout would be $1420.82