NFL Parlay Picks: Allen to star as Bills beat Bill

The 2022 NFL season is now deep into the second half, and we have expert and free NFL parlay picks for every week of a terrific schedule.

We are comfortably in profit for the season after correctly advising two massive recent winning parlays (+552 and +1326) and we are ready to continue taking on the online sportsbooks again in Week 13.

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We start with a Same Game Parlay for Thursday Night Football in Foxboro.

NFL Parlay Picks & Best Bets: Week 13

Okay, so check out this same game parlay for Bills vs Patriots on TNF:

SGP: Buffalo Bills Moneyline, Josh Allen 255+ Passing Yards, Josh Allen 2+ Passing TDs (+210, BetMGM)

Buffalo, despite that recent mid-season slump, is 8-3 and in joint possession of first place in AFC East.

Yes the Bills are no longer Super Bowl favorites and yes Josh Allen is no longer favorite to be NFL MVP. But they are still one of the best rosters in the NFL and Allen remains one of the game’s elite QBs.

He was terrific in two key games late in the 2021 season vs the Pats – throwing for 622 and 8 TDs with no interceptions. The first win basically clinched the AFC East title, the second (a 47-17 beatdown) saw the Bills advance in the playoffs.

Allen is 4-1 in his last 5 start vs Belichick and the Pats – and the loss was the freakish wind game in Orchard Park last season. He owns them when the conditions are right, and there is no hurricane forecast in Foxboro on Thursday night.

255 passing yards and a couple of TDs through the air counts as pretty average numbers for Josh, and we like the Bills to win. Put the three things together and you come away with nice +210 odds to pad your parlay.

Good luck with your bets!

OddsCritic NFL Parlay Picks for Bills vs Patriots on Thursday Night Football

NB: Odds correct when picks made on Wednesday November 30 at 0900 ET.

You can also check out our best NFL prop bets and our NFL picks against the spread plus our picks for both Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football. Or get all our NFL picks this week in one place.

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What is a parlay?

A parlay is a bet where winning and losing comes down to a number of selections – not just one.

So for example on an NFL Sunday you could put 6 teams into one parlay bet. All your wagers need to come up for you to win the parlay bet.

The odds multiply as your selections (hopefully) win, a bit like compound interest from your bank.

So the positive thing about a parlay is that as well as being terrific fun – you can win really big.

The downside is you have to get multiple things right to win. Getting one bet right is not easy – how about 3, 4, 5 or maybe even more.

What is the best NFL parlay strategy?

The best strategy when you are doing a parlay is play it safe and simple. Do not go for crazy big odds – remember everything has to hit for you so don’t take risks. And don’t go for exotic bets or markets. Spread or money line is good.

Our advice would be to pick a max of five selections that you are very confident in and don’t even think about the odds unless they are absolutely terrible. The fact they all multiply means you’ll get a nice payout if they all come up.

The reason we’re suggesting this strategy is that online sportsbooks just LOVE parlays. Simply because they are tough to hit on. That should tell you all you need to know. Like we say, go for surefire winners – not hopeful long shots.

Another thing we’d advise as a fun play is to pick the winners of each NFL division before the season starts and put them in a parlay. Eight teams yes, but gives you interest (hopefully) throughout the season. And could be a terrific payoff to buy you a nice holiday in the offseason.

What is a same game parlay?

As it says on the box people, all the legs of your parlay will focus on the same game.

You can put as many legs in as you want, but there is a caveat to everything here. The odds might not be as great as you might imagine – simply because some of the bets will impact each other.

For example, if you bet a team to win on the moneyline, and the same team to be leading at halftime and final, they almost go hand in hand.

Again, if you bet a player to go over his line for rushing yards, there’s a pretty good chance he’ll go over his line for carries too. Same for receiving yards and catches.

So a same game parlay is absolutely a fun way to bet, but the fact so many of the wagers impact each other does hit your odds a little. Like everything in life, there’s an upside and a downside.

How much does a $100 parlay pay?

Well, that really depends on what the odds are.

There are parlay calculators out there that help you work out the odds for your NFL parlay picks. But we’ll give you a couple of examples

Example 2: A $100 parlay where your three selections are +200, +400 and +600

You would win $10,400 and with your $100 stake back too, your total payout would be $10,500

Example 2: A $100 parlay where your four selections are +150, -120 and +210

You would win $1320,82 and with your stake back too your total payout would be $1420.82

What can I parlay NFL?

The answer is pretty much anything you want. And a ton of sportsbooks now offer same-game parlay functions to make it easy. Worth bearing in mind though that same-game parlays often have pretty bad odds because some of the outcomes affect each other. For example if a quarterback throws 4 TD passes, pretty good chance his team wins…

Where is the NFL Parlay?

Every online sportsbooks offers parlay bets, and you can build some really nice wagers off the back of them. That’s what our NFL parlay picks page aims to do for you.

Why are parlays so hard to win?

Like we said, you need every single leg of your parlay bet to win. If just one loses, you’re cooked. So while the upside is huge as those odds compound, it’s tough to get a big one to hit.

What are the 5 team parlay odds?

Depends which teams you are betting, and whether you are betting them moneyline or Against The Spread (ATS). Put your selections into a betslip on your chosen sportsbook and you will be able to see your odds and potential win. Some websites also have parlay calculators, which are really useful

What is the best parlay bet?

Honestly, the best parlay bet is one that wins! We really like same game parlays because you are effectively writing a script for how you think a game will go. The odds are not quite as big as the outcomes are all linked, but work out what you think will happen in the game, then pick bets to match up. For example if you’re betting the Under on Total Points, do not then pick one of the teams to have a crazy high number of points – the two don’t match up.