NFL Prop Bets: Divisional Playoff Player & Game Picks

NFL prop bets are pretty much the most exciting way to get involved with gambling on sports right now.

Bettors have thousands of options for each slate of NFL games, and Divisional Playoff weekend is no different.

So on we go to our OddsCritic prop bets and predictions for the big weekend. We are coming off a number of wins in Wild Card Weekend – including the following successful picks:

  • Josh Jacobs Over 59.5 Rushing Yards @ -105
  • Tyler Boyd Anytime Touchdown @ +195
  • DeVonta Smith Over 43.5 Receiving Yards @ -110
  • Tyreek Hill Under 70.5 Receiving Yards @ -115
  • Byron Pringle Anytime Touchdown @ +240
  • Odell Beckham Jr Anytime Touchdown @ +140

So with those dollars in our back pocket, let’s get into this weekend’s stellar matchups…

Best Prop Bets Today: Divisional Playoff Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans (Saturday January 22, 4.30pm ET)

When it really mattered in 2021, Cincinnati put games in the hands of Joe Burrow. And boy did it work.

Weeks 16 and 17 are the poster boy for this strategy, with Joe being the difference maker in two incredible wins over Baltiore and Kansas City to clinch the AFC North division title. He racked up almost 1000 yards and threw for 8 touchdowns in just TWO GAMES!

Joe threw 46 times against an overmatched Baltimore secondary and 39 aginst the Chiefs. Our first bet here involves a similar story.

If Cincinnati is to advance to the AFC Championship Game then Burrow needs to have a big day and make this a shootout – something the Titans will be equally keen to avoid.

We expect the Bengals to turn it over to Burrow early to build a lead that they can keep for the rest of the afternoon. Absolutely the right strategy – get a Titan offense which likes to play down hill on the back foot.

If this plays out we do believe Cincy can notch a nice double in the props markets by leading both at halftime and final. The odds (+260) are also pretty sweet.

Ja'Marr Chase Cincinnati Bengals 2021
Rookie wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase has been terrific for the Cincinnati Bengals so far in 2021.

Our other bet here is on the prolific Ja’Marr Chase to find the endzone again in a Cincinnati win. He has had an incredible rookie campaign and is a threat to score from anybody on the field.

Burrow to Chase has been pretty much unstoppable in 2021, and we expect the trend to continue here.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bets

  • Double Chance, Cincinnati-Cincinnati @ +260 (PointsBet)
  • Ja’Marr Chase to score a touchdown Anytime at +110 (PointsBet)

San Francisco 49ers @ Green Bay Packers (Saturday January 22, 8.15pm ET)

Anybody watching last Sunday’s San Francisco victory in Dallas would have noted yet again the unique threat that Deebo Samuel presents for opposing defenses.

Being able to put a guy who suits up as a WR into the backfield on a regular basis is a matchup nightmare, particularly when Samuel is as good as he is.

Deebo was just too hot for the Cowboys, racking up 72 yards and a touchdown on just 10 carries. His mix of speed, power and elusive cuts is too hot for most defenses to handle, and we expect him to fire against Green Bay on Saturday night.

If San Fran is to prevail in Lambeau, they have to dominate up front and hope QB Jimmy Garoppolo does not make any horrific mistakes. Pretty much the gameplan that saw them stun the Cowboys.

Samuel will be a key part of the gameplan again – and what he does on the ground could again be more important than his prowess in the passing game.

The Over/Under for Deebo rushing yards is currently set at 38.5 – and that looks soft to us. We’re taking the Over and we are doing so confidently.

MVP favorite Aaron Rodgers is our second bet here – but not for his arm. Rodgers had been battling a broken toe for the second half of the season, limiting his ability to scramble when required.

#12 now says he’s feeling better than he has all year, and the SF pass rush – notably Nick Bosa – could have him heading out of the pocket on a regular basis.

Rodgers is really good at finding running lanes when he needs to, and the Over/Under for his rushing yards is set at just 7.5. Again, we are taking the Over here.

Our final player prop here is a Green Bay fairytale surrounding Packers WR Randall Cobb. The Pack brought back Cobb this year, partly to make the disgruntled Rodgers happy, and he returns from injury this Saturday.

Cobb still has what it takes to find open spots in opposing secondaries, and he remains a favorite target for Rodgers when healthy. With Davante Adams set to take a lot of the coverage, expect Cobb to have opportunities here.

We like Randall at +300 to find the endzone at any time during proceedings.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bet

  • Deebo Samuel Over 38.5 Rushing Yards @ -122 (FanDuel)
  • Aaron Rodgers Over 7.5 Rushing Yards @ -110 (DraftKings, Caesars)
  • Randall Cobb to score a touchdown Anytime @ +300 (bet365)

Los Angeles Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday January 23, 3pm ET)

Tom Brady vs Matthew Stafford – the GOAT vs the contender – in a stellar playoff matchup. What’s not to like…

Brady continues his quest for an eighth Super Bowl ring against the dangerous Rams in Florida on Sunday afternoon, and it should be an absolute beauty.

The Bucs shade it as favorites right now, but with RT Tristan Wirfs and C Ryan Jensen both hobbled by ankle injuries, they might find it pretty tough to advance to the NFC Championship game.

On the other side of the ball, this game is exactly why the Rams traded the house to get Stafford in from Detroit. He now. has a playoff win at last and L.A. expects to play Super Bowl LVI in its home SoFi Stadium next month.

The center of that Tampa Bay defensive front is pretty stout, anchored by the man mountain that is Vita Vea, and L.A. is likely to find it tough going on the ground.

Tyler Higbee Los Angeles Rams NFL 2021
Los Angeles Rams tight end Tyler Higbee can thrive vs the Bucs secondary.

Instead, Matthew Stafford is likely to need to utilize all of his many aerial weapons to beat Tampa – isn’t that why the Rams traded the house to get him?

One of Stafford’s favorite targets in recent weeks has been TE Tyler Higbee, and we expect him to have another productive day. The Over/Under for his receiving yards is 40.5 – a mark he’s surpassed in each of his last five games. Bet him to make it six.

Our second bet is another Rams receiver in the shape of Odell Beckham Jr. We picked him to score vs Arizona last week, and he obliged. He has now found the endzone in six of nine games since his trade to Los Angeles from Cleveland.

The odds this week on a repeat performance are way better at +185 and we’re taking OBJ to once again score when it matters.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bets

  • Tyler Higbee to have Over 40.5 Receiving Yards @ -128 (FOX Bet)
  • Odell Beckham Jr to score a touchdown Anytime @ +185 (FOX Bet)

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday January 23, 6.30pm ET)

Wow, what a beauty – Josh Allen vs Patrick Mahomes in a primetime matchup for all the marbles at Arrowhead.

These two teams met in last year’s AFC Championship game at the same venue – with KC prevailing 38-24 to move on to Super Bowl LVI. The Bills though gained a measure of revenge in the 2021 regular season by blasting the Chiefs 38-20 at Arrowhead.

That night was significant for many reasons, including a stellar display from Bills TE Dawson Knox. He racked up 117 yards and a score on just three grabs that night.

While the Chiefs defense now is a different one to the shambolic bunch Knox faced that night, he is in red-hot form coming into this game. He caught five balls for 89 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the demolition of New England on Wild Card Weekend.

The Over/Under for Knox receiving yards is currently set at 40.5, and that’s a definite Over for us – we are confident players.

Last week as stated we made money betting Byron Pringle to find the endzone as KC routed Pittsburgh. We like the chances of a repeat here, with Pringle becoming a regular target for Mahomes in recent weeks. With Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill set to account for most of the coverage, expect Pringle to again get opportunities here. Take the +220.

We don’t see any way this is a blowout – both teams are hot right now and both coming off putting up 40 in their Wild Card wins.

Mahomes looked at something approaching his best in throwing for 404 yards and five scores, and we expect him to have another productive day against the best secondary (statistically speaking) in the NFL.

Dawson Knox Buffalo Bills NFL 2021
Bills TE Dawson Knox is red-hot right now.

We expect Patrick to find the endzone regularly with his arm and we’re taking the +120 available right now that he throws for 2.5+ touchdowns. Essentially you need him to throw for 3 touchdowns or more. Go get it…

OddsCritic Best Prop Bets

  • Dawson Knox to have Over 40.5 Receiving yards at -110 (FanDuel)
  • Byron Pringle. to score a touchdown Anytime @ +220 (PointsBet)
  • Patrick Mahomes to throw 2.5+ touchdown passes @ +120 (PointsBet)

NB: All lines correct on Friday January 21, 2022

What is an NFL prop bet?

Well obviously it relates to an NFL game, but it does not relate to the final outcome or result of the game. It can be about literally anything else. Its full name is a proposition bet.

This brings in a ton of fun outcomes that you can bet on, so even the most boring of games can carry some interest into the dying minutes. Yep, props breathe life into even the dullest of 56-14 blowouts…

Just a few examples of props include:

  • Which team scores the first touchdown
  • What the first scoring play is
  • What the last scoring play is
  • Which team is first to reach a specific number of points

There are literally endless possibilities here. They even have a prop for who wins the coin toss in the Super Bowl…

NFL Player Props

Some of the most fun prop bets are specifically related to players, and guess what, there are tons of them.

Some of the most popular player prop bets are:

  • How many TDs a player passes for
  • How many yards a QB passes for
  • How many yards a player rushes for
  • How many receiving yards a player racks up
  • How many receptions a player racks up

The joy of your bet making his second reception for -5 yards in a 42-3 blowout loss when you took the Over at 1.5 Receptions is unsurpassed. Remember that, sports fans.

How do prop bets work?

Exactly the same way bets like moneyline and spreads do. You bet on an outcome at specific odds. And if your prop wins, you collect.

There is no great secret or magic formula – they’re just a different type of bet. But the mechanics of winning and getting paid out = exactly the same.

Can you parlay player props?

Absolutely you can, up to a point.

If you want to pick 3 NFL games on a Sunday afternoon and pick a player in each to do something (go over x passing yards, under x receiving yards etc) then you can.

The only thing to bear in mind here is that sometimes bets affect each other and this might rule out some parlay choices.

For example it’s unlikely any sportsbook would allow you to bet a player to score a touchdown first in a game, and also anytime. The two are obviously linked. If you bet them separately then you are good to go.

Can you win betting on NFL props?

Sure you can, but as with all betting it takes a little strategy as well as luck.

Our advice – as with all bets – is never put down more dollars than you can afford. And always keep a track of your win/loss record.

Take a good look at any outlets who offer NFL picks – do they win regularly? What is their record? It pays to follow them for a little while.

And finally – importantly – check out the stats. The numbers and data will tell you a ton about whether the prop you like is the right move.

For example, if Jonathan Taylor has scored a TD in each of his last 8 games, betting on him to score anytime might be a good move – even if the odds are not great. Remember, they’re not great for a reason.

If Aaron Rodgers is playing against a horrible secondary then betting him to throw more than 2.5 touchdown passes might also be a good move.

Our mission is to help you on your betting journey, so we’ll post our picks here for every NFL weekend moving forward.