NFL Prop Bets: Super Bowl LVI Player & Game Picks

NFL prop bets are pretty much the most exciting way to get involved with gambling on sports right now.

Bettors have thousands of options for each slate of NFL games, and Super Bowl weekend is the biggest of them all…Before we get into our best bets we have some terrific Super Bowl signup offers for you:

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So on we go to our OddsCritic prop bets and predictions for the big weekend. We are coming off a number of wins in the postseason – including the following successful picks:

  • Josh Jacobs Over 59.5 Rushing Yards vs Cincinnati @ -105
  • Tyler Boyd Anytime Touchdown vs Las Vegas @ +195
  • DeVonta Smith Over 43.5 Receiving Yards vs Tampa Bay @ -110
  • Tyreek Hill Under 70.5 Receiving Yards vs Pittsburgh @ -115
  • Byron Pringle Anytime Touchdown vs Pittsburgh @ +240
  • Odell Beckham Jr Anytime Touchdown vs Arizona @ +140
  • Cincinnati/Cincinnati Double Chance vs Tennessee @ +260
  • Deebo Samuel Over 38.5 Rushing Yards vs Green Bay @ -115
  • Tyler Higbee Over 40.5 Receiving Yards vs Tampa Bay @ -128
  • Byron Pringle Anytime Touchdown vs Buffalo @ +220
  • Patrick Mahomes to throw Over 2.5 TD passes vs Kansas City @ +120
  • Tyreek Hill to have Over 75.5 Receiving Yards vs Cincinnati @ -115
  • Jimmy Garoppolo to have Under 20.5 Completions vs Rams @ -114
  • George Kittle Anytime Touchdown vs Rams @ +220
  • Deebo Samuel Over 97.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards vs Rams @ -114

So with those dollars safely in our back pocket, now it is time to look ahead to Super Bowl LVI as the Bengals and Rams do battle at SoFi Stadium on Sunday February 13.

We will spend game week building up our bank of predictions and best bets here, and we also have a special guide to Super Bowl prop bets for you to take in.

Best Prop Bets Today: Super Bowl LVI Predictions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams (Sunday February 13, 6.30pm ET, NBC)

A terrific matchup to end the 2021 season, as the Rams become the second team in two years to play at home in the Super Bowl. After 54 years of it never happening…go figure.

Sean McVay’s crew opened as 4-point favorite and that has increased slightly to 4.5. But that’s not what we are interested in here – it’s props we like people. So on we go to predictions and best bets:

Super Bowl MVP

So our strategy here is pretty simple. We take a quarterback and then another skill position player at big odds. The stats show that a signal caller is likely to win the award, but there are outliers and we want an interest.

Our QB bet is Cincinnati superstar Joe Burrow at +230 – he’s been red-hot in recent weeks and displays calmness and poise way in advance of his tender age. He looks like a future Hall Of Famer and Sunday might put him well on the way to Canton.

Joe Burrow Cincinnati Bengals QB NFL Playoffs 2021
Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow is a leading Super Bowl MVP candidate.

Our big odds play in Rams WR Odell Beckham JR. If somebody other than a QB is going to win MVP – they need to be skill position and capable of producing big splash plays. Step forward OBJ.

Beckham has been a gradually increase influence of the Ram offense. He was a luxury on the day he was signed but within 24 hours a season-ending injury to Robert Woods made him a starter.

While it is a speculative play, having a small wager on Odell at +2500 is well worth the outlay. Keep your stakes small there and major on Burrow.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bets:

First Touchdown Scorer

Big odds for sure in this market, but a much higher level of difficulty. So we keep our bets to a minimum and our stakes small. We prefer us some Anytime please.

Anyway, our bet here is Odell Beckham Jr to sprinkle some stardust in the early going at SoFi. He was made for this stage, and his influence on the Ram offense is growing. The +1000 odds are nice too (he is as short as +700 in places) so take them.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bets:

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Tyler Boyd has been the forgotten man in the last two weeks as Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins key the Bengal passing game. But don’t sleep on Tyler this weekend.

Prior to the wins over Tennessee and KC, Boyd had found the endzone in four consecutive games. Thanks to those two shutouts you can get pretty nice odds that he returns to scoring form at SoFi. While most sportsbooks price him at around +190, DraftKings offers a standout +275. That’s value in our book – so take it.

Cooper Kupp is pretty short odds to end an incredible personal season in style by finding the endzone in Super Bowl LVI – but you cannot ignore the numbers. Kupp has been money in the second half of the season, scoring in 8 of his last 9 games – including all three so far in postseason play. Bet him to strike gold again here.

Cooper Kupp Los Angeles Rams NFL 2021
Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp has scored in 8 of his last 9 games.

Our final bet for now (we may add more later in the week as lineups become clearer) is a small and speculative wager on Rams backup TE Kendall Blanton. He stepped in to perform impressively when Tyler Higbee went down with an MCL injury early in the NFC title game win vs San Francisco.

Blanton caught 5 balls for 57 yards vs the Niners, having found the endzone the previous week in that breathless win in Tampa Bay. While Higbee may yet suit up, it’s difficult to see him being anywhere near 100%, so with that in mind have a small bet on Blanton to deputize effectively once again.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bets:

Player Receiving Yards

Ja’Marr Chase is set to get a ton of attention Sunday as THE BIGGEST THREAT to the Ram defense.

Expect Jalen Ramsey to be all over the LSU megastar at SoFi – which means plenty of opportunities elsewhere for this talented Bengal receiving corps. And that has been the story so far in the postseason.

One man who has really profited from the defense sliding to Ja’Marr is fellow Bengal wideout Tee Higgins. He racked up 96 receiving yards in the win in Tennessee, and then followed up with 103 in the AFC title game win over the Chiefs in Arrowhead. The Over for Tee is 70.5 here and we’ll take that confidently.

Back to Chase, and while he has been the target of every DC during the latter stages of 2021, he has STILL managed to put up good numbers. Two 100-yard days in three postseason games sums up that level of production. Even when he’s relatively quiet, he’s still producing.

Ja’Marr’s Over/Under is 79.5 and we expect him to go Over as Burrow has a big day in terms of passing yardage. The injury to TE C.J. Uzomah (his status is uncertain) is only likely to exacerbate that bias to WRs this Sunday.

If the Bengals are set for a big day at the WR position, expect similar numbers from the Rams – starting with one Odell Beckham Jr.

OBJ has been pretty serviceable since moving out to SoCal post his release by Cleveland, and he snagged 9 Matthew Stafford passes for 113 yards in the NFC Championship Game win over the 49ers. In fact he’s been productive in all of the postseason games so far.

This game was made for Beckham to come up big, and we like the line of 60.5 from PointsBet – take the Over with confidence.

League MVP candidate Cooper Kupp has had an incredible 2021 and has covered this weekend’s line of 105.5 Receiving Yards 13 times in 19 games. You just have to take him to do it again vs the Bengals.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bets:

  • Tee Higgins Over 70.5 Receiving Yards @ -115 (PointsBet)
  • Ja’Marr Chase Over 79.5 Receiving Yards @-115 (BetMGM, Caesars, Borgata)
  • Odell Beckham Jr Over 60.5 Receiving Yards @ -125 (PointsBet)
  • Cooper Kupp Over 105.5 Receiving Yards @ -115 (PointsBet)

Player Receptions

We’ve already told you we expect Odell Beckham Jr to have another big day in the postseason, following on from his great day vs the Niners in the NFC title game.

The line for Beckham receptions is set at 5.5 – he caught 9 balls against San Fran, people, having snagged 6 in the win over the Bucs. Take the Over here with some nice +130 odds available from FOX Bet.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bets:

  • Odell Beckham Jr Over 5.5 Receptions @ +130 (FOX Bet)

Player Rushing Yards

Let’s get one thing clear – this should be a passfest – with Stafford vs Burrow and two highly talented receiving corps, it could hardly be anything else. With that in mind, the rushing games – particularly for the Rams – are likely to be feeding off scraps.

One line we really like is Cincy QB Joe Burrow. He used his legs to terrific effect in the AFC Championship Game win in Kansas City, scrambling for 25 yards on 5 attempts and picking up valuable first downs in the process. With the unstoppable Aaron Donald likely bringing a ton of pressure up the middle, Joe will likely need to utilize those wheels regularly at SoFi.

The line for Burrow here is set at just 10.5, and while you won’t get rich betting it unless you’re a high roller (-125 people), we are confidently taking the Over.

While we expect Burrow to go over, we are also advocating a small wager on his Cincy teammate Joe Mixon to go Under.

FOX Bet places the line at 65.5 for Mixon – a mark he’s covered only 50% of the time in 2021. He has only managed it once in 3 postseason games to date. We expect this game to be won and lost through the air, so bet against Mixon having a field day vs a Rams run defense which gets stingier by the week.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bets:

  • Joe Burrow Over 10.5 Rushing Yards @ -125 (PointsBet)
  • Joe Mixon Under 65.5 Rushing Yards @ -125 (FOX Bet)

Player Receiving and Rushing Yards

Little appeal here for us – unless there is a true gadget like Deebo Samuel in the game this line can be pretty dull. No bet.

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards

The line here is 280.5 yards, and we’re pretty confident that is being covered. The Bengals do tend to give up yards through the air despite an improved secondary, and Stafford has been way over 300 in those recent wins over the Bucs and 49ers. Bet on a repeat here.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bet:

  • Matthew Stafford Over 280.5 Passing Yards at -115 (PointsBet)

Joe Burrow Passing Yards

When the Bengals put the game in the hands of their franchise quarterback, good things tend to happen.

Burrow was insane in that two-game tear which clinched the AFC North (971 passing yards for 8 touchdowns), but in other games he’s been much quieter.

The current line is set at 275.5, and while we don’t quite share the same level of confidence America has in that being covered (76.5% believe in Burrow) we would err on the side of positivity.

If you want to bet, we suggest you do take the Over – but do it at minimum stakes. Remember, bet responsibly and never more than you can afford to lose…

OddsCritic Best Prop Bet: Joe Burrow Over 275.5 Passing Yards @ -115 (PointsBet)

Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns

When the Rams traded the house to acquire Stafford from the Detroit Lions in early 2021, they did so for games like this. He was picked up to get this super-talented roster over the hump and into a home Super Bowl. Now he has to win it.

While having the likes of Cooper Kupp at his disposal means Stafford often puts up gaudy numbers for passing yardage, throwing for more than 2.5 TDs in the big game looks a little bit of a reach.

Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams 2021
Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford may struggle to hit on 3 touchdown passes.

Stafford has only managed to cover this line 50% of the time – a total of 9 times in 18 games. And still, more than 83% of America believes he will do it. Clearly saying ‘yes’ is way easier than ‘no’ in betting, just like life.

We confidently expect the Bengals to give up a ton of yards to Stafford and co, we just don’t think he’ll cover this line. Take the Under.

OddsCritic Best Prop Bet: Matthew Stafford Under 2.5 Touchdown Passes @ -191 (PointsBet)

Joe Burrow Passing Touchdowns

The line here is set at 1.5 and guess what people – 98.5% of America believes Joe Cool will go over. We are the eternal optimists, it’s official.

The sensationally talented second-year man out of LSU needs to hit on two TD passes for you to collect – and so far in 2021 he has better than a 70% success record – he’s achieved that feat 14 times in 19 games.

Jalen Ramsey might take away a little Ja’Marr Chase, but it’s highly unlikely this Ram secondary can totally shut down the high-powered Bengal offense. As well as Chase, Burrow also has the likes of Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins in a terrific group of receivers. Bet him to go Over

OddsCritic Best Prop Bet: Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes @ -160 (PointsBet)

Team Totals

Look, we may have already said we like the chances of Burrow and Cincinnati lighting up SoFi with some offensive fireworks. So we are all in on the current Team Totals lines.

Cincinnati’s Over/Under is effectively set at 22.5, which seems a little on the low side to us. Take the Over…

OddsCritic Best Prop Bet: Cincinnati Bengals to score Over 22.5 Points @ 105 (PointsBet)

Coin Toss

Look, this is one of THE most popular bets but honestly, nothing to see here.

You can bet +100 with FOX Bet taking either Heads or Tails but it’s a 50-50 shot with zero skill involved. Literally the flip of a coin.

So no predictions for us – we need to retain at least some credibility – though if you do want Super Bowl coin toss stats, then we do have you covered.

What is an NFL prop bet?

Well obviously it relates to an NFL game, but it does not relate to the final outcome or result of the game. It can be about literally anything else. Its full name is a proposition bet.

This brings in a ton of fun outcomes that you can bet on, so even the most boring of games can carry some interest into the dying minutes. Yep, props breathe life into even the dullest of 56-14 blowouts…

Just a few examples of props include:

  • Which team scores the first touchdown
  • What the first scoring play is
  • What the last scoring play is
  • Which team is first to reach a specific number of points

There are literally endless possibilities here. They even have a prop for who wins the coin toss in the Super Bowl…

NFL Player Props

Some of the most fun prop bets are specifically related to players, and guess what, there are tons of them.

Some of the most popular player prop bets are:

  • How many TDs a player passes for
  • How many yards a QB passes for
  • How many yards a player rushes for
  • How many receiving yards a player racks up
  • How many receptions a player racks up

The joy of your bet making his second reception for -5 yards in a 42-3 blowout loss when you took the Over at 1.5 Receptions is unsurpassed. Remember that, sports fans.

How do prop bets work?

Exactly the same way bets like moneyline and spreads do. You bet on an outcome at specific odds. And if your prop wins, you collect.

There is no great secret or magic formula – they’re just a different type of bet. But the mechanics of winning and getting paid out = exactly the same.

Can you parlay player props?

Absolutely you can, up to a point.

If you want to pick 3 NFL games on a Sunday afternoon and pick a player in each to do something (go over x passing yards, under x receiving yards etc) then you can.

The only thing to bear in mind here is that sometimes bets affect each other and this might rule out some parlay choices.

For example it’s unlikely any sportsbook would allow you to bet a player to score a touchdown first in a game, and also anytime. The two are obviously linked. If you bet them separately then you are good to go.

Can you win betting on NFL props?

Sure you can, but as with all betting it takes a little strategy as well as luck.

Our advice – as with all bets – is never put down more dollars than you can afford. And always keep a track of your win/loss record.

Take a good look at any outlets who offer NFL picks – do they win regularly? What is their record? It pays to follow them for a little while.

And finally – importantly – check out the stats. The numbers and data will tell you a ton about whether the prop you like is the right move.

For example, if Jonathan Taylor has scored a TD in each of his last 8 games, betting on him to score anytime might be a good move – even if the odds are not great. Remember, they’re not great for a reason.

If Aaron Rodgers is playing against a horrible secondary then betting him to throw more than 2.5 touchdown passes might also be a good move.

Our mission is to help you on your betting journey, so we’ll post our picks here for every NFL weekend moving forward.

Where can I place a prop bet?

All major sportsbooks offer a ton of prop bets for every NFL game – and even more when it comes to the Super Bowl. Check out our online bookmaker reviews and betting signup bonuses pages to choose where you put your dollars down.

What is the Over/Under for the Super Bowl?

The Over/Under for Super Bowl LVI opened at 49.5 Points, but it’s shrunk just a little to a current 48.5.

Which team is favored to win the Super Bowl in 2022?

The Rams opened as a 4-point favorite in what is a home game for them at SoFi. They have tightened slightly and now have a 4.5-point edge as we get deeper into game week.

What sportsbooks have props?

Like we said, all of them. Every single one. Enjoy!