NFL Prop Bets: Bet on Heinicke to feast on Falcons

NFL prop bets are pretty much the most exciting way to get involved with gambling on sports right now and the 2022 season has a ton of fun in store for you.

Bettors have thousands of options for each slate of NFL games, making wagering on sports more exciting than ever before.

Our mission at OddsCritic is to pick up winners for you every single week. 2021 was a big success for us and we are going well again in 2022.

Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Week 12

Here they are – our best NFL prop bets for Sunday’s Week 12 games. Good luck with your bets!

Taylor Heinicke Over 212.5 Passing Yards (-115, BetMGM)

Heinicke and the Commanders appeared set for another futile season a few short weeks ago. Now they are on the fringes of the playoff conversation after improving to 6-5 with four wins in five games.

Washington has an imposing defensive front and Chase Young still to add to the mix, but it’s the offense we’ll focus on for our first weekend prop, as newly-anointed starting QB Taylor Heinicke faces off with the Atlanta Falcons (1pm ET Sunday, FOX).

The Commanders have majored on the ground game in recent weeks with rookie Brian Robinson Jr and Antonio Gibson forming a potent one-two punch. And while we expect them to commit to the ground game again, Heinicke has a terrific opportunity to enjoy more success through the air.

The Falcons secondary has been torched by just about every QB to face it so far, it ranks last in the amount of aerial yards given up so far in 2022. Take Heinicke to increase his production with Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, Logan Thomas and co all providing explosive weapons to utilize.

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Jeff Wilson to score 2+ Touchdowns (+290, BetMGM)

Wilson has been a big hit in South Beach after his recent trade from San Francisco ahead of the midseason deadline. He has around 6.5 yards per carry and one score in a couple of games so far.

Last time out Wilson carried 17 times for 119 yards and a TD in a home win over Cleveland, and now he gets an even more favorable matchup vs the NFL’s worst run defense – the Houston Texans (1pm ET Sunday, CBS).

Houston is giving up 178.9 rushing yards per game so far, nobody gives up more, and it has also given 14 touchdowns so far to opposing RBs.

While the pass remains the primary focus for Miami, the addition of Wilson has made the offense even more potent with a strong ground game.

The injury doubt over Raheem Mostert (knee) makes it likely that Wilson will again carry the bulk of the load for the Fish, and we like his chances of finding the endzone more than once.

Cole Kmet Anytime Touchdown (+400, bet365)

The Chicago Bears head into East Rutherford, New Jersey on Sunday to face the New York Jets (1pm ET, CBS).

Chicago is coming off an agonizing 27-24 loss to the Falcons in Atlanta, a game in which sensationally talented QB Justin Fields separated his shoulder. He could yet be available for Sunday in NY, but there is no certainty.

Losing Fields would be a real blow for one Bear in particular – TE Cole Kmet. He has scored 5 times in his last 4 games after finally exploding as a pro.

The signs are Fields could still suit up on Sunday, and if he does them expect Kmet to get more redzone targets. Also expect him to haul one in.

JuJu Smith-Schuster Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-104, Caesars)

Schuster returns to the KC starting line up on Sunday with the Chiefs more than a two-touchdown favorite against the fading Super Bowl champion Rams (4.25pm ET, FOX).

JuJu was really starting to blossom into a big part of what looks like an NFL MVP season for Patrick Mahomes. He had racked up 325 receiving yards in his last 3 games before suffering a concussion in the win over Jacksonville a couple of weeks ago.

Now Schuster is back after spending a week in concussion protocol and should once more be productive, especially with Mecole Hardman and Kadarius Toney likely to be sidelined by injury.

Expect JuJu to get a steady stream of targets from Mahomes, the pair clearly have a nice rapport now. His QB is playing at the peak of his powers, and the numbers should again reflect that on Sunday.

OddsCritic Best NFL Prop Bets for Week 12

  • Taylor Heinicke Over 212.5 Passing Yards (-115, BetMGM)
  • Jeff Wilson 2+ Touchdowns (+290, BetMGM)
  • Cole Kmet Anytime Touchdown (+400, bet365)
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-104, Caesars)

NB: Odds correct when picks and predictions made Friday November 25, 2022

What is an NFL prop bet?

Well obviously it relates to an NFL game, but it does not relate to the final outcome or result of the game. It can be about literally anything else. Its full name is a proposition bet.

This brings in a ton of fun outcomes that you can bet on, so even the most boring of games can carry some interest into the dying minutes. Yep, props breathe life into even the dullest of 56-14 blowouts…

Just a few examples of props include:

  • Which team scores the first touchdown
  • What the first scoring play is
  • What the last scoring play is
  • Which team is first to reach a specific number of points

There are literally endless possibilities here. They even have a prop for who wins the coin toss in the Super Bowl…

NFL Player Props

Some of the most fun prop bets are specifically related to players, and guess what, there are tons of them.

Some of the most popular player prop bets are:

  • How many TDs a player passes for
  • How many yards a QB passes for
  • How many yards a player rushes for
  • How many receiving yards a player racks up
  • How many receptions a player racks up

The joy of your bet making his second reception for -5 yards in a 42-3 blowout loss when you took the Over at 1.5 Receptions is unsurpassed. Remember that, sports fans.

How do prop bets work?

Exactly the same way bets like moneyline and spreads do. You bet on an outcome at specific odds. And if your prop wins, you collect.

There is no great secret or magic formula – they’re just a different type of bet. But the mechanics of winning and getting paid out = exactly the same.

Can you parlay player props?

Absolutely you can, up to a point.

If you want to pick 3 NFL games on a Sunday afternoon and pick a player in each to do something (go over x passing yards, under x receiving yards etc) then you can.

The only thing to bear in mind here is that sometimes bets affect each other and this might rule out some parlay choices.

For example it’s unlikely any sportsbook would allow you to bet a player to score a touchdown first in a game, and also anytime. The two are obviously linked. If you bet them separately then you are good to go.

Can you win betting on NFL props?

Sure you can, but as with all betting it takes a little strategy as well as luck.

Our advice – as with all bets – is never put down more dollars than you can afford. And always keep a track of your win/loss record.

Take a good look at any outlets who offer NFL picks – do they win regularly? What is their record? It pays to follow them for a little while.

And finally – importantly – check out the stats. The numbers and data will tell you a ton about whether the prop you like is the right move.

For example, if Jonathan Taylor has scored a TD in each of his last 8 games, betting on him to score anytime might be a good move – even if the odds are not great. Remember, they’re not great for a reason.

If Aaron Rodgers is playing against a horrible secondary then betting him to throw more than 2.5 touchdown passes might also be a good move.

Our mission is to help you on your betting journey, so we’ll post our picks here for every NFL weekend moving forward.

Where can I place a prop bet?

All major sportsbooks offer a ton of prop bets for every NFL game – and even more when it comes to the Super Bowl. Check out our online bookmaker reviews and betting signup bonuses pages to choose where you put your dollars down.

What is the Over/Under for the Super Bowl?

The Over/Under for the most recent Super Bowl LVI which pitted Bengals vs Rams opened at 49.5 Points, but it shrunk just a little to a final 48.5.

Which team is favored to win the Super Bowl in 2022?

The Buffalo Bills are currently trading as +450 favorite to win Super Bowl LVI, which takes place after the 2022 regular season in Glendale, Arizona. The game will be played February 12, 2023.

What sportsbooks have props?

Like we said, all of them. Every single one. Enjoy!

Are prop bets worth it?

Absolutely, they add another really fun layer to your sports betting experience. Instead of just betting on who wins the game, you have a ton of other options which mean you have interest in even the dullest of football games.

Why are they called prop bets?

Prop is short for proposition, which is also a novelty or side bet. A prop bet is basically anything that is not the result of the game.