NFL Prop Bets: Red-hot picks for the Week 15 action

NFL prop bets are pretty much the most exciting way to get involved with gambling on sports right now and the 2022 season has a ton of fun in store for you.

Bettors have thousands of options for each slate of NFL games, making wagering on sports more exciting than ever before.

Our mission at OddsCritic is to pick up winners for you every single week. 2021 was a big success for us and we are going well again in 2022.

Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Week 15

Here they are – our best NFL prop bets for Saturday’s Week 15 games. Good luck with your bets!

Alec Pierce Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-110, PointsBet)

Pierce has had a frustrating season, but that sums it up for the Indianapolis Colts in a wider sense.

A year that started with expectations of a deep playoff run has ended up as a miserable campaign with a fired coach, a benched (and then unbenched) franchise QB and the hiring of a high-school HC.

At times Pierce, a second-round pick out of Cincinnati in the 2022 NFL Draft, has lived up to those expectations. There have been flashes of brilliance and the ability to produce big plays when it matters. Just not often enough.

Last time out the Colts were ultimately embarrassed by the Dallas Cowboys 54-19. But for three quarters Indy were sticking around. They trailed 21-19 heading into the fourth before absolutely meltdown ensued.

Pierce was one of the reasons the Colts were competitive for a long time in that game, catching 4 Matt Ryan passes for 86 yards and a touchdown. He was targeted 8 times in total, Ryan absolutely loves him.

Now Pierce gets to go against a Vikings pass defense which has struggled to slow down wide receivers all season (1pm ET Saturday, NFL Network) and is coming off a 34-23 loss to division rival Detroit.

The line for Pierce receiving yards is set at 40.5 and we are confident buyers on the Over there.

Gus Edwards Anytime Touchdown (+320, PointsBet)

The Ravens are very very wounded headed into their Week 15 trip to division rival Cleveland (Saturday 4.30pm ET, NFL Network).

Baltimore has huge issues at the game’s most important position – starter Lamar Jackson is down and backup Tyler Huntley joined him last week with a concussion. Third stringer Anthony Brown will likely be at the controls on Saturday.

We expect a typical AFC North matchup here with both teams attempting to establish the run. Luckily for the Ravens they have Gus Edwards and J.K. Dobbins forming a nice one-two punch in their backfield.

Edwards is typically the go-to guy between the tackles, and is likely to get plenty of opportunities to move the chains on Saturday. We like his potential for short-yardage work in the endzone too, and the +320 odds for an anytime touchdown look too good to pass up.

James Cook Over 40.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (-115, PointsBet)

Cook was making real progress as a rookie in terms of his involvement in Buffalo’s weekly gameplan, until that 20-12 win over the New York Jets last weekend. We prefer to think of that as a blip or something to be concerned about.

Prior to that matchup – where Cook had just 4 carries on the ground and one target through the air, he had started to show the promise which led the Bills to grab him in Round 2 of the NFL Draft.

The recent win over the New England Patriots in Foxboro showed exactly what Cook can do as he racked up 64 yards on the ground and 41 through the air.

The Dolphins have a weakened secondary coming into this one (8.15pm ET Saturday, NFL Network) with injuries starting to bite, and we love the chances of Cook to be involved in the passing game as well as getting touches in the ground game.

Justin Fields Anytime Touchdown (+150, bet365)

Yes, Fields has been carrying a pretty painful shoulder injury in recent weeks, but he continues to be an elite threat for the Bears on the ground (not through the air). And this week vs Philly (which has already clinched a playoff berth) he might be their only offensive threat.

If the Eagles have a weakness anywhere on their stacked roster, it is against the run with Jordan Davis still working his way back to full ability following an injury. Meanwhile all Fields does is put up big rushing yards and score touchdowns, despite any health concerns.

Justin required just 6 carries in his last outing vs Green Bay to rack up 71 yards and a score, and he has found the endzone in each of his last 6 games. He is +150 to continue the streak vs Philly, and quite simply those odds should be smaller.

This is a value pick, take Justin to claim his 9th TD of the 2022 season.

Ezekiel Elliott Anytime Touchdown (+102, Unibet)

Okay so this also goes down as a huge value pick – how does Zeke not have a big minus before his number?

We’ve said this often, we get that he isn’t the undoubted #1 RB in Dallas any more with the emergence of Tony Pollard as a dynamic home-run threat. But he is still producing at a high level as part of a powerful one-two punch.

Elliott has scored in every single one of his last 6 starts, racking up 8 scores in the process. He’s been money in the Anytime TD markets and there is no reason at all to avoid him this weekend.

The Jags are an improving team and this is a fascinating matchup, but we expect Dallas to move the hall and we again expect Zeke to be the go-to option when the ball is in the redzone. Take him to find the endzone again.

Isiah Pacheco Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-110, bet365)

We’ve been high on Pacheco since very early in his rookie season, and he is now cementing his position as RB1 in Kansas City.

This tough, versatile back runs with purpose and aggression, and on Sunday he goes against the league’s worst run defense. This could be an ugly beatdown with KC a two-touchdown favorite.

Pacheco racked up 70 yards on just 13 carries vs a stout Denver D last weekend, and finding room to run should be way easier against the overmatched and banged-up Texans. Take him to cover the 68.5 line.

Greg Dulcich Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (114, FanDuel)

Dulcich has been one of the very few bright spots for the Broncos in a shambolic 3-10 season to date. And with adequate QB play all the way, he would be even further along in his exciting development.

The former UCLA standout has shown real flashes of potential, highlighting his ability to get open and stretch the field for a Denver offense which has been largely stagnant despite the blockbuster acquisition of Russell Wilson.

This week Dulcich has a very favorable matchup against a Cardinal D which allows more fantasy points to TEs than any other in the NFL. Take the hint…

Mac Jones Over 230.5 Passing Yards (-115, PointsBet)

Jones has had much to overcome in 2022, and not just opposing defenses. The decision to have former DC Matt Patricia call plays has frustrated just about everybody in Foxboro, nobody more so than Mac.

This week though Jones has a nice matchup against a soft Raiders secondary on the road, and he can put up some nice numbers as the Pats desperately seek another win to continue their push for a postseason berth.

OddsCritic Best NFL Prop Bets for Saturday in Week 15

  • Alec Pierce Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-110, BetMGM)
  • Gus Edwards Anytime Touchdown (+320, PointsBet)
  • James Cook Over 40.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (-115, PointsBet)

OddsCritic Best NFL Prop Bets for Sunday in Week 15

  • Justin Fields Anytime Touchdown (+150, bet365)
  • Ezekiel Elliott Anytime Touchdown (+102, Unibet)
  • Isiah Pacheco Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-110, bet365)
  • Greg Dulcich Over 38.5 Receiving yards (-114, FanDuel)
  • Mac Jones Over 230.5 Passing Yards (-115, PointsBet)

NB: Odds correct when picks and predictions made.

What is an NFL prop bet?

Well obviously it relates to an NFL game, but it does not relate to the final outcome or result of the game. It can be about literally anything else. Its full name is a proposition bet.

This brings in a ton of fun outcomes that you can bet on, so even the most boring of games can carry some interest into the dying minutes. Yep, props breathe life into even the dullest of 56-14 blowouts…

Just a few examples of props include:

  • Which team scores the first touchdown
  • What the first scoring play is
  • What the last scoring play is
  • Which team is first to reach a specific number of points

There are literally endless possibilities here. They even have a prop for who wins the coin toss in the Super Bowl…

NFL Player Props

Some of the most fun prop bets are specifically related to players, and guess what, there are tons of them.

Some of the most popular player prop bets are:

  • How many TDs a player passes for
  • How many yards a QB passes for
  • How many yards a player rushes for
  • How many receiving yards a player racks up
  • How many receptions a player racks up

The joy of your bet making his second reception for -5 yards in a 42-3 blowout loss when you took the Over at 1.5 Receptions is unsurpassed. Remember that, sports fans.

How do prop bets work?

Exactly the same way bets like moneyline and spreads do. You bet on an outcome at specific odds. And if your prop wins, you collect.

There is no great secret or magic formula – they’re just a different type of bet. But the mechanics of winning and getting paid out = exactly the same.

Can you parlay player props?

Absolutely you can, up to a point.

If you want to pick 3 NFL games on a Sunday afternoon and pick a player in each to do something (go over x passing yards, under x receiving yards etc) then you can.

The only thing to bear in mind here is that sometimes bets affect each other and this might rule out some parlay choices.

For example it’s unlikely any sportsbook would allow you to bet a player to score a touchdown first in a game, and also anytime. The two are obviously linked. If you bet them separately then you are good to go.

Can you win betting on NFL props?

Sure you can, but as with all betting it takes a little strategy as well as luck.

Our advice – as with all bets – is never put down more dollars than you can afford. And always keep a track of your win/loss record.

Take a good look at any outlets who offer NFL picks – do they win regularly? What is their record? It pays to follow them for a little while.

And finally – importantly – check out the stats. The numbers and data will tell you a ton about whether the prop you like is the right move.

For example, if Jonathan Taylor has scored a TD in each of his last 8 games, betting on him to score anytime might be a good move – even if the odds are not great. Remember, they’re not great for a reason.

If Aaron Rodgers is playing against a horrible secondary then betting him to throw more than 2.5 touchdown passes might also be a good move.

Our mission is to help you on your betting journey, so we’ll post our picks here for every NFL weekend moving forward.

Where can I place a prop bet?

All major sportsbooks offer a ton of prop bets for every NFL game – and even more when it comes to the Super Bowl. Check out our online bookmaker reviews and betting signup bonuses pages to choose where you put your dollars down.

What is the Over/Under for the Super Bowl?

The Over/Under for the most recent Super Bowl LVI which pitted Bengals vs Rams opened at 49.5 Points, but it shrunk just a little to a final 48.5.

Which team is favored to win the Super Bowl in 2022?

The Buffalo Bills are currently trading as +380 favorite to win Super Bowl LVI, which takes place after the 2022 regular season in Glendale, Arizona. The game will be played February 12, 2023.

What sportsbooks have props?

Like we said, all of them. Every single one. Enjoy!

Are prop bets worth it?

Absolutely, they add another really fun layer to your sports betting experience. Instead of just betting on who wins the game, you have a ton of other options which mean you have interest in even the dullest of football games.

Why are they called prop bets?

Prop is short for proposition, which is also a novelty or side bet. A prop bet is basically anything that is not the result of the game.