Dallas Cowboys Odds: Draft fills the major needs

Mike McCarthy Dallas Cowboys 2021

When the Dallas Cowboys won a third Super Bowl in just four years way back in January 1996, what would the odds have been they’d wait at least 27 years for another?

But that’s the deal for America’s Team – a quarter century of misery with Jerry Jones floundering while the rest of the country laughs at his entitled fanbase.

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The Cowboys regularly pack 100,000 fans into AT&T Stadium in Arlington, but Jones’ marketing genius is not matched by what he puts on the football field. Cue a ton of underachievement from overpaid and overrated squads.

JJ rewarded his franchise QB Dak Prescott with an eye-popping $160million contract over the next four years in a bid to finally end that Super Bowl drought.

So far that outlay appears to be money very well spent – Prescott led Dallas to a 12-5 regular-season record plus an NFC East title and a playoff berth and he also just missed out on the NFL Comeback Player Of The Year award.

Prescott was also on the fringes of the NFL league MVP conversation for most of the season – though he slid out of contention in the closing weeks.

There was no championship again this year for the Cowboys though after a heartbreaking 23-17 home loss to the San Francisco 49ers in a hard-fought Wild Card playoff game at AT&T Stadium.

It was last-second agony for Dallas as Prescott failed to spike the ball before time ran out, blowing any chance of a Hail Mary shot.

The online bookmakers will now start thinking about how the Cowboys might shape up in 2022.

What are the odds for the Cowboys to win the Super Bowl?

Okay, we know it’s been 26 years, and will be at least 27 before Jerry holds another Lombardi Trophy aloft. Don’t laugh but sportsbooks aren’t writing off their chances of a world championship off completely.

Dallas is +1800 (bet $100 to win $1800) to win Super Bowl LVII in Glendale, Arizona next February.

Dallas Cowboys 2022 Draft Picks

Dallas went into the 2022 Draft with some glaring needs on the back of losses via trade and free agency.

The most pressing needs appear to be an edge rusher, a wide receiver and a guard – and the last of those came in Round 1 on Thursday night. The Cowboys had the #24 overall pick and they took Tulsa OT Tyler Smith.

Smith is a nasty player – a real mauler – but he has issues in pass protection (a ton of holding penalties in 2021). He will likely start at LG to replace Connor Williams (sounds like for like with all those penalties) and will need to refine his craft in the pros. To be honest this looks like a reach at worse, a project with upside at best.

Instead of Smith, Dallas could have had any of the following studs:

  • Florida State DE Jermaine Johnson
  • Purdue DE George Karlaftis
  • Georgia S Lewis Cine
  • Iowa C Tyler Linderbaum
  • Georgia LB Nakobe Dean
  • Utah LB Devin Lloyd
  • Georgia DT Devonte Wyatt

We’d have preferred any of those guys over Tyler. Oh well…this offseason just gets better (satire).

On Friday the Cowboys filled two more huge needs by selecting Ole Miss DE Sam Williams and South Alabama WR Jalen Tolbert. There is no doubting Williams’ potential, but he does come with some off-field concerns. Tolbert might be a nice WR3 with some polish and seasoning.

The rest of the Draft was a case of filling more gaps, including a tight end, a couple of linebackers, an offensive tackle and a nose tackle. We’ll find out in August how many of these guys make the team. As ever Dallas was busy signing undrafted free agents too.

The Dallas Cowboys draft picks in 2022 are as follows (overall pick number in brackets):

  • Round 1 (24) – Tyler Smith (OT, Tulsa)
  • Round 2 (56) – Sam Williams (DE, Ole Miss)
  • Round 3 (88) – Jalen Tolbert (WR, South Alabama)
  • Round 4 (129):- Jake Ferguson (TE, Wisconsin)
  • Round 5 (155 from Cleveland) – Matt Waletzko (OT, North Dakota)
  • Round 5 (167) – DaRon Bland (DB, Fresno State)
  • Round 5 (176, compensatory)- Damone Clark (LB, LSU)
  • Round 5 (178, compensatory) – John Ridgeway (DT, Arkansas)
  • Round 6 (193 from Cleveland)  – Devin Harper (LB, Oklahoma State)

Dallas Cowboys Free Agency

  • Another day, another WR departure. After trading Amari Cooper to Cleveland and seeing Cedric Wilson sign with Miami, Dallas allowed Malik Turner to sign a one-year deal with the San Francisco 49er

  • When free agency started, the vibes were that Pro Bowl P Bryan Anger would be allowed to walk. Not so any more. Maybe it is the extra money available via Randy Gregory’s unexpected exit to Denver, but either way Anger is back in ‘Big D’ for another three years on a deal worth a total of $9million.

  • Good news at last – Jayron Kearse will remain a Cowboy for at least the next two seasons. The safety, who was a revelation in 2021, has inked a two-year pact worth $10million and a max value of $11million. Great business for Dallas, retaining what was an important part of a very improved Dan Quinn defense in 2021.

  • At last, Dallas is signing players who didn’t finish 2021 as a Cowboy. Only problem is, they’re doing what they always do – shopping in that cheaper second wave of free agency. The ‘Boys have signed former number 3 overall pick Dante Fowler to man that RDE spot opposite DeMarcus Lawrence, and also former Pittsburgh WR James Washington. Again Washington is a one-year deal – both are low-risk moves.

  • A signing at last! Don’t get too excited though Cowboy fans, it’s only Leighton Vander Esch. The former first-round draft pick is returning for 2022 on a one-year deal. No terms as yet.

  • Another shocking move in the Metroplex as the Cowboys release RT La’el Collins. Clearly the team fell out of love with one of the best linemen in the league, that suspension in 2021 likely had something to do with it. But like Amari Cooper, losing an elite player for nothing or next to nothing suggests the front office are not having a great offseason…

  • Disaster struck in Dallas Tuesday, just hours after it looked like the Cowboys had pulled off a masterstroke. Following that DeMarcus Lawrence restructure, Dallas had the cap space to negotiate with DE Randy Gregory and managed to agree a five-year, $70million deal with the pass rusher. All good? Just wait a minute. Per Patrik Walker of CBS Sports, the Cowboys then tried to insert a clause/language into the agreement which torpedoed the whole deal. Enter the Denver Broncos, who subsequently outbid Dallas and make Randy a Bronco. Another shambolic episode from the Cowboys front office, and apparently Gregory is no longer a Cowboy not because of money, but because of that clause/language Dallas tried to insert into the contract.

  • Tiny consolation after that Gregory bombshell, but the Cowboys have managed to re-sign S Malik Hooker. Cowboys Nation uttering the meekest of “Yay” at that news….

  • Now of course the Cowboys are desperately scrambling to find an edge rusher to replace Gregory, and it appears that Von Miller is at the top of the list. There is mutual interest too – maybe the Cowboys will bring the DeSoto native back home.

  • Great news (at last) for Cowboys Nation in that DE DeMarcus Lawrence is staying in Dallas. Lawrence has agreed a new three-year deal worth £30million (and possibly up to 40). The key bit here is it reduces his cap hit from $27million to $13million. As for D-Law, the entirety of the deal is fully guaranteed. Win-win.

  • The final WR chip to fall for Dallas came Monday when Cedrick Wilson bolted for Miami in free agency. Wilson agreed a three-year deal worth $22.8million with $12.8million fully guaranteed.

  • Just 24 hours on from trading Amari, and the ‘Boys have reportedly agreed that expected new deal with WR Michael Gallup. The numbers – per Adam Schefter of ESPN – are five years for $62.5million. The Cowboys a little discount here with Gallup rehabbing that torn ACL. Let’s hope he’s ready for camp…

  • So it wasn’t just rumor after all – Amari Cooper is no longer a Dallas Cowboy. With that $22million salary for 2022 about to become guaranteed and no sign of a breakthrough in talks, the Cowboys pulled the trigger on a trade with the Cleveland Browns Saturday. Dallas gets a fifth-round pick for Cooper while the teams swap sixth-round picks. The Browns take on all of Cooper’s salary – and Dallas crucially saves $16million against the 2022 cap.

  • After so much rumor in recent days about which player are leaving the team, at last a little fact again. K Greg Zuerlein has been released, while TE Blake Jarwin has been waived with an injury designation.

  • Not a rumor this one, put it in the book as fact. Dallas has placed the franchise tag on TE Dalton Schultz just hours ahead of the March 8 deadline. He is on the books now for $10.834million in 2022 unless a long-term deal can be done by July 15. We don’t like this…he’s good – not great.

When did the Dallas Cowboys last win a Super Bowl?

You have to go back more than a quarter of a century like we said. The only constant during that period of futility = Jerry Jones. After scooping three Lombardi trophies in four year (thanks to Jimmy Johnson) things have been thin since.

The third of those Super Bowl wins was the most recent for the Cowboys, as Johnson’s replacement Barry Switzer managed to get a talent-laden roster over the line = just.

A late-season implosion almost blew any chance of Dallas winning it all, but they made the playoffs with a 12-4 record and then saw off the Eagles and Packers in playoff games at Texas Stadium.

Then the Cowboys won Super Bowl XXX in a game played in Tempe, Arizona on Sunday January 28, 1996.

Dallas was a heavy favorite to defeat the AFC champion Pittsburgh Steelers, but made heavy weather of doing so. it took two Larry Brow interceptions (of two horrible Neil O’Donnell throws) to clinch a 27-17 victory.

Cowboys odds to win the NFC East division

Dallas of course clinched the East with ease in 2021. Having started the season at +150 to clinch the race, the Cowboys proved those odds were pretty nice as they dominated throughout the year.

This year the odds opened shorter – Dallas was best at -115. But now, for the first time in over a year, the Cowboys are plus odds to win the division and the are GETTING BIGGER. They are now +130 with multiple sportsbooks after the Eagles closed the gap with a terrific Draft.

The latest NFC East odds are:

NB: Odds correct June 18, 2022

Cowboys odds to win the NFC Championship

It’s 26 years and counting since Dallas played in the NFC title game, let alone won it. This after appearing in four straight between 1992-1995. Thin times indeed.

Sportsbooks expect better next year though, making the Cowboys +850 fifth favorite to be conference champion – behind the Bucs, Rams, the Packers and 49ers.

Can the Cowboys make the Playoffs?

Well they can and they did in 2021. Now we are on to 2022 and the odds of the Cowboys making the postseason again in 2022 are again overwhelmingly positive. Dallas is -250 to be in postseason play next January and +200 to miss out.

How many regular season wins in 2022?

Sportsbooks set an over/under for every NFL team and its regular-season wins – last season the line for Dallas opened at 9.5.

This year Caesars set the line for the Cowboys at 10.5 – if you take the Over you get odds of +100 (bet $100 to win $100) and if you go Under you get -120 (bet $120 to win $100).

Dallas Cowboys ATS in 2021

You should be able to work out from those weekly handicap figures that Dallas was 13-5 against the spread (ATS) on the 2021 season.

Dallas Cowboys 2022 Schedule & how to watch on TV

Okay so the 2022 NFL schedule is confirmed and here is what the Cowboys will face from September:

  • September 11: vs Tampa Bay Buccanners (8.20pm ET, NBC)
  • September 18: vs Cincinnati Bengals (4.25pm ET, CBS)
  • September 26: @ New York Giants (8.15pm ET, ESPN/ABC)
  • October 2: vs Washington Commanders (1pm ET, FOX)
  • October 9: @ Los Angeles Rams (4.25pm ET, FOX)
  • October 16: @ Philadelphia Eagles (8.20pm ET, NBC)
  • October 23: vs Detroit Lions (1pm ET, CBS)
  • October 30: vs Chicago Bears (1pm ET, FOX)
  • November 13: @ Green Bay Packers (4.25pm ET, FOX)
  • November 20: @ Minnesota Vikings (4.25pm ET, CBS)
  • November 24: vs New York Giants (4.30pm ET, FOX)
  • December 4: vs Indianapolis Colts (8.20pm ET, NBC)
  • December 11: vs Houston Texans (1pm ET, FOX)
  • December 18: @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1pm ET, FOX)
  • December 24: vs Philadelphia Eagles (4.25pm ET, FOX)
  • December 29: @ Tennessee Titans (8.15pm ET, Amazon Prime Video)
  • TBD: @ Washington Commanders

As ever the Cowboys have a ton of primetime games on national TV. There are three games on Sunday Night Football, kicking off with the season opener vs Tom Brady and the Bucs. Dallas has just one game on Amazon Prime Video’s Thursday Night Football, the trip to Tennessee on December 29. There is also just one outing in front of the new Monday Night Football announcing crew of Joe Buck and Troy Aikman – the Week 3 trip to New York to face the football Giants.

Road

  • New York Giants
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • Washington Football Team
  • Green Bay Packers
  • Jacksonville JaguarsSep
  • Los Angeles Rams
  • Minnesota Vikings
  • Tennessee Titans

Strength Of Schedule in 2022

The Dallas Cowboys do get some benefit from playing in the woeful NFC East. The four teams – including Dallas – rank 29-32 in strength of schedule for 22 – the easiest routes in the league to the postseason.

Dallas and Washington are T31 – they have the absolute easiest schedules at .462 based on the 2021 records of their 2022 opponents.

Cowboys Free Agents in 2022

The annual stampede to upgrade rosters via free agency begins in March 16 at 4pm ET.

Dallas is normally pretty low-key in free agency, looking to wait until the first wave of huge deals is done before shopping at a more reasonable price range.

There is a chance that the Cowboys go into 2022 with a weaker roster as several of their key players are set to hit free agency in March. It’s unlikely they can keep even the most important ones – hence the potential Amari and D-Law will be cut. The list is:

Unrestricted Free Agents (UFA)

  • LB Keanu Neal (signed with Tampa Bay)
  • WR Michael Gallup (re-signed)
  • DE Randy Gregory (signed with Denver)
  • WR Cedrick Wilson (signed with Miami)
  • LB Leighton Van Der Esch (re-signed)
  • DT Carlos Watkins (re-signed)
  • DT Brent Urban (remains FA)
  • OT Ty Nsekhe (remains FA)
  • OG Connor Williams (signed with Miami)
  • CB Maurice Canady (remains FA)
  • S Damontae Kazee (remains FA)
  • WR Noah Brown (re-signed)
  • S Jayron Kearse (re-signed)
  • LS Jake McQuaide (re-signed)
  • P Bryan Anger (re-signed)
  • RB Corey Clement (remains FA)
  • TE Jeremy Sprinkle (re-signed)
  • S Malik Hooker (re-signed)
  • WR Malik Turner (signed with San Francisco)
  • DE Dorance Armstrong (re-signed)
  • TE Dalton Schultz (franchise tag)

Are the Cowboys favored to win?

As you can see from the odds, Dallas is among the top teams in the NFL right now, so it is favored in the majority of games it plays. You could count on the fingers of one hand the times it was not favored in 2021.

What are the odds of the Cowboys winning the Super Bowl?

Well, it’s been 26 years and counting, so that +1800 (bet $100 to win $1800) seems about right to us. We need proof Dallas has the cojones when it really matters before we put down cold hard cash.