NFL Picks Against The Spread: Divisional Playoff Weekend!

NFL picks against the spread are the bread and butter fun predictions for any expert or bettor during the season and we have picks for every single game of the 2022 season.

Every weekend experts and fans alike put their reputations on the line by making their predictions for every game.

Picking and betting against the spread is one of the most fun ways to bet on NFL games. It is the ultimate in ensuring parity. Everybody starts at pretty much the same odds.

One team is favored by a specific points margin thanks to Vegas and those online sportsbooks. If you pick that team they must win by more than that margin for you to collect. If you pick the underdog, the baseline for you to win is they must lose by less than that margin.

You can check out our full guide to NFL betting, which has more intel on ATS and all the other popular and best NFL bets. Also get our weekly NFL parlay picks and prop bets, which are on a hot streak right now.

You can also get all of our NFL picks for this week in one place.

NFL Picks Against The Spread – Divisional Playoff Weekend

Here are the spreads for the playoff action scheduled for this weekend, with our ATS picks (all times Eastern):


Saturday January 21, 2023

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (+8.5) vs Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5) (4.30pm ET – NBC) – PICK: CHIEFS
  • New York Giants (+7.5) vs Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) (8.15pm ET – FOX) – PICK: EAGLES

Sunday January 22, 2023

  • Cincinnati Bengals (+5.5) vs Buffalo Bills (-5.5) (3pm ET – CBS) – PICK: BENGALS
  • Dallas Cowboys (+4) vs San Francisco 49ers (-4) (6.30pm ET – FOX) – PICK: COWBOYS

2022 Season Record So far ATS: 142-129

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NFL Teams Records Against The Spread 2022 – who is best?

Just because a team is top of its division, it doesn’t always follow that team will be great against the spread.

Using the same logic, a team with a terrible W/L record can be great at covering the spread on a weekly basis – while still losing games.

The team with the best record ATS so far in 2022 was the Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Giants, who both finished the regular season 12-4.

The team with the worst record ATS in 2022? That would be Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on a miserable 3-12-1.

TeamATS HomeATS RoadATS Overall
Cincinnati Bengals5-17-212-4
New York Giants6-36-112-4
Detroit Lions7-24-311-5
Los Angeles Chargers4-3-17-211-5-1
Pittsburgh Steelers4-3-16-310-6-1
San Francisco 49ers7-23-410-6
Dallas Cowboys6-34-410-7
Tennessee Titans3-56-2-19-7-1
Miami Dolphins5-34-59-8
Houston Texans3-56-39-8
Carolina Panthers5-44-49-8
Atlanta Falcons5-44-49-8
Green Bay Packers4-44-48-8
Cleveland Browns4-44-48-8
Jacksonville Jaguars4-34-58-8
Washington Commanders4-4-14-48-8-1
Arizona Cardinals4-44-48-8
New York Jets3-55-48-9
Baltimore Ravens2-66-38-9
Philadelphia Eagles6-32-68-9
Las Vegas Raiders5-33-68-9
Buffalo Bills3-44-47-8
Minnesota Vikings4-53-3-17-8-1
New England Patriots3-54-4-17-9-1
Seattle Seahawks4-53-47-9
Los Angeles Rams4-53-4-17-9-1
Denver Broncos3-53-56-10
New Orleans Saints3-53-56-10
Indianapolis Colts3-53-66-11
Kansas City Chiefs2-64-56-11
Chicago Bears3-62-65-12
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1-6-12-63-12-1

Do NFL computer picks always win?

Again, simple answer – sometimes they do, sometimes they don’t.

Computer picks obviously use statistical data and an algorithm, so they are based generally on fact – good thing.

The other plus point is that they have no inbuilt mental bias. Ask a guy in the street and he might just not like the Patriots – that is likely to influence his picks just a little. Even if he wouldn’t admit it.

Can you win betting Against The Spread?

Absolutely you can, but it does take some research and sometimes a little luck.

Always check out the ATS records of the teams you are betting – particularly at home or on the road.

Yet again, we’d advise you to monitor injury reports, COVID reserve lists and weather. These can all factor heavily into what the spread looks like pre-game, and how the scenario then plays out for real.

Which NFL teams is best against the spread in 2022?

The Cincinnati Bengals and New York Giants had the best ATS record in 2022 with a 12-4 mark.

Which NFL teams are worst against the spread in 2022?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Tom Brady and all – had the league’s worst record ATS in 2022 at 3-12-1.