NFL picks against the spread are the bread and butter fun predictions for any expert or bettor during the season and we have picks for every single game of the 2022 season.
Every weekend experts and fans alike put their reputations on the line by making their predictions for every game.
Picking and betting against the spread is one of the most fun ways to bet on NFL games. It is the ultimate in ensuring parity. Everybody starts at pretty much the same odds.
One team is favored by a specific points margin thanks to Vegas and those online sportsbooks. If you pick that team they must win by more than that margin for you to collect. If you pick the underdog, the baseline for you to win is they must lose by less than that margin.
You can check out our full guide to NFL betting, which has more intel on ATS and all the other popular and best NFL bets. Also get our weekly NFL parlay picks and prop bets, which are on a hot streak right now.
You can also get all of our NFL picks for this week in one place.
NFL Picks Against The Spread – Divisional Playoff Weekend
Here are the spreads for the playoff action scheduled for this weekend, with our ATS picks (all times Eastern):
DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS
Saturday January 21, 2023
- Jacksonville Jaguars (+8.5) vs Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5) (4.30pm ET – NBC) – PICK: CHIEFS
- New York Giants (+7.5) vs Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) (8.15pm ET – FOX) – PICK: EAGLES
Sunday January 22, 2023
- Cincinnati Bengals (+5.5) vs Buffalo Bills (-5.5) (3pm ET – CBS) – PICK: BENGALS
- Dallas Cowboys (+4) vs San Francisco 49ers (-4) (6.30pm ET – FOX) – PICK: COWBOYS
2022 Season Record So far ATS: 142-129
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NFL Teams Records Against The Spread 2022 – who is best?
Just because a team is top of its division, it doesn’t always follow that team will be great against the spread.
Using the same logic, a team with a terrible W/L record can be great at covering the spread on a weekly basis – while still losing games.
The team with the best record ATS so far in 2022 was the Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Giants, who both finished the regular season 12-4.
The team with the worst record ATS in 2022? That would be Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on a miserable 3-12-1.
| Team | ATS Home | ATS Road | ATS Overall |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5-1 | 7-2 | 12-4 |
| New York Giants | 6-3 | 6-1 | 12-4 |
| Detroit Lions | 7-2 | 4-3 | 11-5 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4-3-1 | 7-2 | 11-5-1 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4-3-1 | 6-3 | 10-6-1 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7-2 | 3-4 | 10-6 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6-3 | 4-4 | 10-7 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3-5 | 6-2-1 | 9-7-1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 5-3 | 4-5 | 9-8 |
| Houston Texans | 3-5 | 6-3 | 9-8 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5-4 | 4-4 | 9-8 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 5-4 | 4-4 | 9-8 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4-4 | 4-4 | 8-8 |
| Cleveland Browns | 4-4 | 4-4 | 8-8 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-3 | 4-5 | 8-8 |
| Washington Commanders | 4-4-1 | 4-4 | 8-8-1 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4-4 | 4-4 | 8-8 |
| New York Jets | 3-5 | 5-4 | 8-9 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2-6 | 6-3 | 8-9 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6-3 | 2-6 | 8-9 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5-3 | 3-6 | 8-9 |
| Buffalo Bills | 3-4 | 4-4 | 7-8 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4-5 | 3-3-1 | 7-8-1 |
| New England Patriots | 3-5 | 4-4-1 | 7-9-1 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4-5 | 3-4 | 7-9 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4-5 | 3-4-1 | 7-9-1 |
| Denver Broncos | 3-5 | 3-5 | 6-10 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3-5 | 3-5 | 6-10 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3-5 | 3-6 | 6-11 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6-11 |
| Chicago Bears | 3-6 | 2-6 | 5-12 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1-6-1 | 2-6 | 3-12-1 |
Do NFL computer picks always win?
Again, simple answer – sometimes they do, sometimes they don’t.
Computer picks obviously use statistical data and an algorithm, so they are based generally on fact – good thing.
The other plus point is that they have no inbuilt mental bias. Ask a guy in the street and he might just not like the Patriots – that is likely to influence his picks just a little. Even if he wouldn’t admit it.
Can you win betting Against The Spread?
Absolutely you can, but it does take some research and sometimes a little luck.
Always check out the ATS records of the teams you are betting – particularly at home or on the road.
Yet again, we’d advise you to monitor injury reports, COVID reserve lists and weather. These can all factor heavily into what the spread looks like pre-game, and how the scenario then plays out for real.
The Cincinnati Bengals and New York Giants had the best ATS record in 2022 with a 12-4 mark.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Tom Brady and all – had the league’s worst record ATS in 2022 at 3-12-1.