The odds to lead the NFL in passing yards in 2022 are out, and guess what, it’s the usual suspects who head the early line.
Pro football is more than ever a passing game, gone are the days when you could play defense, grind it out on the ground and have your QB manage the game. It takes more than that to win in the NFL today.
Passing numbers get gaudier by the year, with a string of elite signal callers and MVP candidates lighting it up on a weekly basis.
The latest news as we head towards the new season is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers giving Tom Brady YET ANOTHER weapon by signing future HOF WR Julio Jones to a one-year deal. The Bucs are stacked…
Here is where things stand for the odds heading into the 2022 NFL season.
Odds to lead the NFL in Passing Yards
Despite Brady now having Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Russell Gages and now Julio to throw to, he is still not favorite. Those +900 odds look pretty nice right now.
The betting line is headed instead by Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert and Kansas City Chiefs signal caller Patrick Mahomes – both are priced at +800 (bet $100 to win $800).
The list is a who’s who of league MVP candidates, with Brady in third spot at +900 and newly-crowned Super Bowl champion Matthew Stafford at +1000. Then Raiders QB Derek Carr – who gets to throw to Davante Adams from September – comes next on +1100.
Reigning league MVP Aaron Rodgers, if you’re wondering, is currently at +2500 odds. No Davante to throw to in 2022 of course.
Here is the latest line as we head towards training camp and preseason:
- +800 Justin Herbert (BetMGM, Borgata)
- +800 Patrick Mahomes (Widely available)
- +900 Tom Brady (Unibet, SugarHouse)
- +1000 Matthew Stafford (DrafKings)
- +1100 Derek Carr (FanDuel)
- +1200 Joe Burrow (DraftKings)
- +1200 Josh Allen (Widely available)
- +1500 Dak Prescott (SugarHouse, Unibet)
- +2000 Kirk Cousins (Widely available)
- +2000 Russell Wilson (Widely available)
- +2500 Aaron Rodgers (FanDuel)
NB: Odds correct August 5, 2022
Who led the NFL in passing yards?
A look at the last 10 years and recent history shows how much offense through the air matters, and how often the marquee QBs head the way:
- 2021: Tom Brady – 5316
- 2020: Deshaun Watson – 4823
- 2019: Jameis Winston – 5109
- 2018: Ben Roethlisberger – 5129
- 2017: Tom Brady – 4577
- 2016: Drew Brees – 5208
- 2015: Drew Brees – 4870
- 2014: Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger – 4952
- 2013: Peyton Manning – 5477
- 2012: Drew Brees – 5177
The ageless Tom Brady led the way with 5316 passing yards despite a ton of injuries to his receivers. Stellar.
If by efficiency you mean pass completion percentage (we would), then the leader in 2021 was Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals with a terrific mark of 70.4 percent.