NFL Passing Yards Odds: Is -400 Mahomes a lock?

Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes is an even hotter favorite in the NFL Passing Yards odds for 2022 after another sensational performance in Week 12.

The Kansas City Chiefs QB racked up another 320 passing yards as KC defeated the injury-riddled Los Angeles Rams 26-10 at Arrowhead.

That saw the NFL MVP favorite’s odds to lead the league in passing yards dip even further – from a pregame -250 to a postgame -400. You’d have to bet $400 to win $100. This is Pat’s to lose from here on out.

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Here is where things stand for the odds heading into Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season.

Odds to lead the NFL in Passing Yards

Mahomes is absolutely tearing it up right now – he’s gone over 300 passing yards in each of his last 6 games. And two of those games, he’s gone over 400 yards. The odds absolutely reflect that.

Early-season favorite Josh Allen is now not even second best with Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow the closest challenger to Mahomes. If you believe the sportsbooks of course.

Here is the latest line after the Week 12 games:

  • -400 Patrick Mahomes
  • +750 Joe Burrow
  • +1400 Josh Allen
  • +2000 Justin Herbert
  • +2000 Tom Brady

NB: Odds correct November 29, 2022

NFL Passing Yards Leaders in 2022

Mahomes tops the standings now, and the NFL leaders in passing yards after Week 11 are as follows:

  • 3585 Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs)
  • 3183 Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills)
  • 3160 Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals)
  • 3051 Tom Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
  • 3004 Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers)
  • 2802 Geno Smith (Seattle Seahawks)
  • 2760 Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings)
  • 2730 Derek Carr (Las Vegas Raiders)
  • 2682 Jared Goff (Detroit Lions)
  • 2682 Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)

Who led the NFL in passing yards?

A look at the last 10 years and recent history shows how much offense through the air matters, and how often the marquee QBs head the way:

  • 2021: Tom Brady – 5316
  • 2020: Deshaun Watson – 4823
  • 2019: Jameis Winston – 5109
  • 2018: Ben Roethlisberger – 5129
  • 2017: Tom Brady – 4577
  • 2016: Drew Brees – 5208
  • 2015: Drew Brees – 4870
  • 2014: Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger – 4952
  • 2013: Peyton Manning – 5477
  • 2012: Drew Brees – 5177

Who had the most passing yards in the NFL in 2021?

The ageless Tom Brady led the way with 5316 passing yards despite a ton of injuries to his receivers. Stellar.

Who leads the NFL in passing efficiency?

If by efficiency you mean pass completion percentage (we would), then the leader in 2021 was Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals with a terrific mark of 70.4 percent.