‘Canelo’Alvarez proved the odds correct with a dominant victory over Gennadiy ‘GGG’ Golovkin in their long-awaited trilogy fight in Vegas and now he gets a massive homecoming bout next in Guadalajara!
The Mexican megastar started fast against the 40-year-old Golovkin, setting a pace which his ageing opponent could not match – for eight rounds at least. ‘GGG’ did improve in the closing rounds, but it was way too late to get a decision in what is now Canelo’s town.
If anything the scorecards appeared lop-sided in favor of Golovkin – he lost 116-112 and 115-113 twice – the latter score laughable in the context of the fight. Most experts would struggle to give Golovkin more than three rounds, period. The result did land our prefight boxing pick – Canelo to win by Decision or Technical Decision.
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Back at his favored 168lbs super-middleweight limit after that upset loss to Dmitry Bivol, Canelo (now 58-2-2) looked sharp and powerful and he dominated center ring as he had in the second fight vs Golovkin way back in 2018.
Golovkin meanwhile looked like an old fighter who was well on the road to being shot – he just could not pull the trigger when it mattered.
Making picks and predictions in boxing is never easy, but here is where things stand heading into the next fight for Canelo…
Canelo Next Fight & Odds
Okay so this is one ‘Canelo’ will absolutely be looking forward to – a Guadalajara homecoming vs British star John Ryder. Alvarez will put all of his world super-middleweight titles on the line once again.
Canelo is unsurprisingly a heavy favorite at -950 (bet $950 to win $100) with Ryder a +800 underdog (bet $100 to win $800). The Draw is a +2000 shot. All those odds are with FanDuel.
Canelo Betting Picks & Predictions
We’ll have Canelo vs Ryder predictions and picks in fight week, and you can check out our regular boxing betting picks here.
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Canelo Next Fight: Date and live stream
Canelo vs Ryder takes place Saturday night (May 6) in Guadalajara, Mexico. A home town fight for Alvarez.
The bout will air on DAZN PPV and the price is $54.99 if you are an existing subscriber or $74.99 if you are a new subscriber. An annual package for DAZN in the U.S. is $224.99.
Canelo Weight
Canelo right now is back at his favorite weight class of super-middleweight and 168lbs.
At some stage soon we expect him to go up to light-heavyweight and 175lbs again to try and avenge that May 2022 loss to the excellent Dmitry Bivol.
Canelo Tickets
Canelo is generally the hottest ticket in boxing – not surprisingly his fights draw tens of thousands of Mexican fight fans to boxing hotspots like Las Vegas. He also drew more than 70,000 to AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas for that May 2021 defeat of Billy Joe Saunders.
Canelo tickets normally start at around $300 and go up to literally thousands for ringside positions.
How many belts does Canelo have in 2022?
Canelo completed unifying the major titles at super-middleweight in 2021. He defeated Britain’s Callum Smith in December 2020 to claim the WBC and WBA titles, then stopped another Briton Billy Joe Saunders in May 2021 to add the WBO title. The stoppage of Plant in November 2021 added the IBF strap to Canelo’s collection and meant he had the full set at 168lbs.
All of Canelo’s super-middleweight titles were on the line in the Golovkin trilogy and he did of course retain them.
Why do they call him Canelo?
Pretty simple, and it’s all down to his red hair. Canelo is Spanish for ‘cinnamon’. All makes sense now, right?
How do betting odds work in boxing?
Boxing betting works pretty much the same way as other sports do.
The simplest bet of all is the money line – where you just bet a fighter to win.
If your pick – say Canelo – is -400, you win $100 for every $400 you bet. Tough sledding.
If your pick – say Golovkin – is +400, you win $400 for every $100 you put down.
As well as money line odds, there are a ton of prop bets and other special markets. You can bet on the method of victory or even what round the fight will end.
Basically there is a ton of betting fun out there every time a big fight happens.
Betting signup bonuses for Canelo fights
Every time Canelo fights the online sportsbooks offer great signup bonuses to entice new customers.
For example they might offer you +5000 that he wins, even though the money line is -600. The flip side is you’ll likely only be able to stake a small amount (maybe as low as a dollar), and you’ll need to be a new customer.
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That depends on who he is fighting, and what the odds are. If he goes for the Bivol rematch next he is likely to be the underdog for the first time since 2018 and the second Golovkin fight. He is likely to be in + odds territory so if you are a Canelo fan, there is money to be made.
Canelo is a -950 favorite to defeat John Ryder (bet $950 to win $100). Unless you are a high roller, not much value there. Ryder is +800 (bet $100 to win $800).
The Mexican megastar is currently 32 years old and he will turn 33 on July 18, 2023.
Canelo was expected to dispose of the Russian comfortably – despite his unbeaten record Bivol was a +350 underdog to win the fight. That’s an implied win probability of just 22 percent.
