Saturday night will see a brand new UFC Lightweight Champion being crowned for the first time since Khabib Nurmagomedov retired in 2020, and we have expert picks for all the major fights at UFC 262.
1-0 in the UFC, Michael Chandler looks to become one of the quickest 155-pound kings in the history of the sport. First though he must overcome the dangerous Charles Oliveira to reach that goal.
Chandler comes in following a TKO win in January against Dan Hooker, Oliveira has a more stacked UFC record, with wins against Tony Ferguson, Clay Guida and Kevin Lee.
UFC 262 Picks
A terrific night is in store at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas, and here’s all you need to know ahead of time as we give you our expert picks for the biggest fights on a stellar card.
Chandler vs Oliveira Predictions & Expert Picks
An intriguing fight for the belt at 155lbs. Chandler lacks UFC experience but has a ton of in the wider world of MMA. Chandler has gone 5 rounds with the likes of Benson Henderson and Eddie Alvarez, so his motor is not in question. Oliveira has been a popular pick for a title shot ever since his win over Tony Ferguson, but he’s got a completely different fight here, and Chandler may just have the edge in terms of his grappling prowess. It’s a tight one, and an almost guaranteed great main event, but we see Chandler taking this via the judges scorecards.
OddsCritic Pick: Chandler via Decision at +600 (FanDuel)
Ferguson vs Dariush Predictions & Expert Picks
The really big question here is this: Which Tony Ferguson are we getting Saturday? And is he past it at 37 years old? Dariush has already said he plans on matching Ferguson and even ‘out crazying’ him in the cage, and an impressive win here would line up sure-fire title shot next. It’s worth bearing in mind however that Ferguson lost to Gaethje and Oliveira, and Dariush is not on their level yet. Did Ferguson just fight two of the very best approaching their prime and he’s still got it? He’s an underdog, but we say stick with the legend and the TKO in the later rounds.
OddsCritic Pick: Ferguson Round 3 at +2000 (PointsBet)
Chookagian vs Araujo Predictions & Expert Picks
Again this is a close, close fight to call. Chookagian is walking in with the bigger name and more experience, which is why she is favorite. Chookagian has only had two split decision losses in her MMA career, so when it goes to the scorecards she is in good shape. This all hinges on if Araujo can put away Katlyn early, but we don’t see that happening and Chookagian takes the decision here
Burgos vs Barboza Predictions & Expert Picks
This is a sleeper fight and potential contender for the best of the night. It’s a tale of two fighters coming in on opposite ends of the win column, with Barboza having lost three in a row before his last win, and Burgos on a strong win streak before losing his last fight. In terms of the run of the field, Burgos is one of those fighters who looks like a contender over the next few years, and we predict he’ll get the win here via TKO to reignite his Featherweight top-10 status and run towards a title fight.
OddsCritic Pick: Burgos via KO, TKO or DQ at +425 (PointsBet)
What time does Chandler vs Oiiveira start?
The main card for the event will be on at 10 p.m. ET. Prelims are set to take place on ESPN and ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. ET. Early prelims begin on ESPN+ at 6:30 p.m. ET.
How can I watch Chandler vs Oliveira on TV?
If you want to watch Chandler vs Oliveira and all of UFC 262 on TV or live stream it, the best deal is to buy a UFC Bundle for $89.98.
This means you’ll not only get the next PPV, but with it a year’s subscription to ESPN+, which airs the PPV shows.
Recent PPVs alone – including the Conor McGregor vs Dustin Poirier rematch – have retailed for $69.99 so this is pretty good value. The ESPN+ annual sub on its own is worth $59.99.
UFC 262 Odds: Money line latest
Here are the main money lines right now:
- Charles Oliveira (-130) vs Michael Chandler (+110)
- Beneil Dariush (-170) vs Tony Ferguson (+150)
- Katlyn Chookagian (-140) vs Vivian Araujo (+120)
- Shane Burgos (-134) vs. Edson Barboza (+108)
- Matt Schnell (-159) vs. Rogerio Bontorin (+130)
- Jacare Souza (-112) vs. Andre Muniz (-112)
- Lando Vannata (+100) vs. Mike Grundy (-124)
- Andrea Lee (+105) vs. Antonina Shevchenko (-129)
- Jordan Wright (-106) vs. Jamie Pickett (-118)
- Gina Mazany (-200) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (+155)
- Kevin Aguilar (-103) vs. Tucker Lutz (-122)
- Christos Giagos (-225) vs. Sean Soriano (+176)
- Odds correct at noon ET on Thursday May 13